Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-11-19T00:14:07

The high energy (greater than 2 MeV) electron flux as observed by GOES-16 is currently at background and is generally expected to remain at this level, with only minor enhancements likely in the solar wind during the first couple of days. However, on day 4 (22nd) the electron flux is likely to rise above to High levels, in response to the high speed stream from coronal hole 96. The electron fluence is therefore expected to stay at background levels for much of the period, but is likely to increase toward the Active threshold on day 4 (22nd). 
The Met Office REFM output is currently considered to be offering good guidance.