MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-11-06T00:09:07
Under the influence of a weak high speed stream from CH92 the high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) will vary between Moderate levels and occasional diurnal peaks above the High threshold of 1000 pfu.
The corrresponding 24 hour fluence is expected to remain predominantly just below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu), but may just temporarily exceed the threshold today and tomorrow.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-11-06T00:09:07 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 50% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 50% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 40% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 40% | 1% |