Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-10-08T00:14:07

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) as observed by GOES-16, is expected to reach high values through the diurnal cycle through the first half of the forecast period, due to recent high speed stream influences, but peak flux values will likely fall on a day by day basis.

The associated 24 hour electron fluence may be near the active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) early in the forecast period, otherwise is expected to remain at normal background levels. This is supported by the REFM, which although not capturing the current elevated level, suggests a decreasing trend.