help
Home HOME
 
month‹‹‹ week‹‹ day‹ ›››month ››week ›day
 

MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-09-25T00:16:13

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to oscillated diurnally between moderate or High (1e3pfu) levels, with an increasing likelihood of remaining above the High threshold from day 3 (27th). A similar pattern occurred during the previously rotation. Electron fluence values are forecast to reach the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold from either late today, or more likely tomorrow, and then remain above Active for the rest of the period.

24 hours electron fluence values are forecast to reach the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold from possibly late today, or more likely tomorrow.


 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2020-09-25T00:16:13
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 40% 1%
Day 2 70% 1%
Day 3 90% 5%
Day 4 100% 10%