Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-08-28T00:07:32

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is likely to remain near background levels to start the period, but expected to see a more general rising trend after day 2 (29th) after anticipated increased geomagnetic activity from positive coronal hole high speed stream connection starts to ease. This likely to produce moderate to high flux levels by day 3 (30th).

MOSWOC REFM output forecasts of the 24-hour electron fluence demonstrate a rising trend over the next 4 days. This is accepted, with an increasing chance of rising above the active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold from day 2.