MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-08-21T00:22:47
The high energy (greater than 2MeV) electron flux, as observed by GOES-16, is currently at background, and is currently not expected to see significant enhancement through the period. The associated 24-hour fluence will remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold. REFM suggests a gentle rise in fluence values, but supports the lack of any significant enhancement through the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-08-21T00:22:47 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |