MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-08-16T00:02:23
The oscillating trend in high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) has seen a slight diminution through the UTC day of Saturday, and while a similar ebb in counts may occur over the remainder of the weekend, it should soon reach equilibrium, with a peak in Moderate flux (100-1000pfu). The 24-hour integrated fluence level should remain comfortably below the Active threshold throughout.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-08-16T00:02:23 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |