MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-08-23T00:17:12
The high energy (greater than 2MeV) electron flux, as observed by GOES-16, is currently at background, and is currently not expected to see significant enhancement through the period.
The associated 24-hour fluence will remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold. Met Office REFM output is strongly suggesting that fluence levels will remain well below the Active threshold, and this is supported by data from 27-day recurrence.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-08-23T00:17:12 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |