MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-08-24T00:05:11
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV), as observed by GOES-16, is currently at background, and is currently not expected to see significant enhancement through the period. The associated 24-hour fluence is expected to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold, although perhaps with an increasing trend, as suggested by latest MOSWOC REFM output.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-08-24T00:05:11 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |