MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-08-17T00:27:21
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is forecast to oscillate between moderate and background levels through the period, with a declining diurnal peak value. The rate of reduction could increase, due to any geomagnetic activity on days 3 and 4.
24-hour electron fluence is forecast to follow a declining trend over the next four days, staying well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-08-17T00:27:21 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |