MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-07-17T00:01:33
The high energy (greater than 2MeV) electron flux as observed by GOES-16, is expected to remain at predominantly background levels the period, with no significant sources of enhancement forecast, and only occasional increases to moderate levels during the diurnal peaks.
The associated 24-hour high energy electron fluence is forecast to remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu), with REFM currently offering good guidance.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-07-17T00:01:33 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |