MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-09-15T00:00:27
The high energy (greater than 2 MeV) electron flux is now almost completely confined to within Normal Background flux levels, i.e. sub-100pfu. While a degree of recovery is perhaps possible to oscillate in Moderate flux, realistically the 24-hour integrated Active fluence threshold is unlikely to be troubled until the onset of the successor to CH75 arrives later this month.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-09-15T00:00:27 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |