Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-08-09T00:12:20

The current oscillation of high energy electron flux is likely to gradually wane over the forecast period, with the current solar wind environment not supportive of maintaining such levels, and with little forecast to change this state of affairs in the period.

The current oscillation about the High flux threshold (1000pfu) should begin to spend more time in Moderate territory (100-1000pfu), such that the integrated 24-hour electron fluence should fall below the Active threshold, perhaps as early as day one (Sunday 09 August).