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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-05-12T00:16:32

The high energy electron flux is forecast to be at mainly background levels, but could reach moderate counts on diurnal peaks, especially on day 3 (14th) due to any high speed stream. Corresponding electron fluence values are expected to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) values in line with REFM expectations. 

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2020-05-12T00:16:32
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 1% 1%
Day 2 1% 1%
Day 3 5% 1%
Day 4 5% 1%