Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-06-11T00:03:45

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is currently at background levels. There may be an increase in electron counts due to the recent slightly elevated solar wind speeds, most likely up to moderate levels at the peak of the diurnal cycle. The corresponding 24-hour fluence is therefore likely to show an increasing trend but is not currently expected to exceed the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu).

Both the REFM and the 27-day recurrence strongly suggest low fluence levels will continue throughout.