MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-05-11T00:18:36
The high energy electron flux is forecast to be at mainly background levels, but could reach moderate counts on diurnal peaks, especially on day 4 due to any high speed stream. Corresponding electron fluence values are expected to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) values in line with REFM expectations.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-05-11T00:18:36 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |