MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-04-23T00:03:55
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is currently at background levels. There may be an increase due to the current slightly elevated solar wind speeds, but this is likely to stay below the high (1e3pfu) threshold. Corresponding 24-hour fluence may also show a slight increasing trend, but is unlikely to reach the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) level due to the muted solar wind environment.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-04-23T00:03:55 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |