MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-05-23T00:11:03
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) as measured by GOES-16 has been at mainly background levels over the last few days. This trend is expected to continue through the forecast period. As the electron flux is expected to remain at background levels, the 24-hour fluence values are forecast to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-05-23T00:11:03 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |