MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-04-22T00:29:06
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain below the high (1e3pfu) threshold through the forecast period, but may breach the threshold on diurnal maxima later in the period. Corresponding 24-hour fluence may also show an increasing trend, but is unlikely to reach the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) level due to the muted solar wind environment.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-04-22T00:29:06 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |