MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-04-09T00:03:20
High energy electron flux levels are expected to oscillate between background and moderate levels through Day 1 (9th April). An increase is possible from early on Day 2 in response to any significant input from the high speed streams of coronal holes 27 and then 26.
Corresponding electron fluence values are currently well below the Active threshold. This is likely to increase during Day 2 (10th Apr), but is unlikely reach the Active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-04-09T00:03:20 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |