MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-03-10T00:27:19
High energy electron flux values are expected to remain at background to moderate levels with a small chance exceeding the high (1e3pfu) threshold on days 1 to 3 depending on the strength of any connection to the high speed stream from CH20/-.
Corresponding 24-hour fluence values are at very low levels and given the low likelihood of a strong connection with the coronal hole, the fluence is expected to stay below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-03-10T00:27:19 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |