MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-03-11T00:29:22
High energy electron flux values are expected to remain at background to moderate levels. There is a small chance of exceeding the high (1e3pfu) threshold on days 2 to 4 depending on the strength of any connection to the high speed stream from coronal hole 20 on days 1 and 2.
Corresponding 24-hour fluence values are at very low levels and in the absence of a strong connection to coronal hole 20 are expected to remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-03-11T00:29:22 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |