Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-03-02T00:29:26

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) increased to moderate levels in response to the recent high speed stream, but did not exceed the high (1e3pfu) threshold. Further increases in the high speed stream could result in peaks above the high threshold especially through days 1 to 3. Any increase in counts however may be restricted by periods of enhanced geomagnetic activity.

24 hour electron fluence values are at background levels, but exhibited a shallow increase in response to the recent high speed stream. This rise may reach close to Active (1e8 integrated pfu) levels in response to further electron flux enhancements, but could also could be dampened during any periods of Active or G1/Minor Storms.