Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-02-20T00:30:29

The high energy (greater than 2MeV) electron flux has averaged around moderate over the last 12 hours, most likely due to the high speed stream from coronal hole 15.  This level is likely to continue over the forecast period, with a chance of reaching high levels in diurnal peaks especially from day 2 onward. Electron flux levels could however be affected by further geomagnetic enhancements.

Corresponding fluence values are likely to remain at mainly background levels, but assuming a heightened flux, this should be accompanied by a rising trend. Despite this trend, electron fluence is unlikely to exceed the Active threshold.