MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-02-13T00:27:35
The peak of the high energy electron flux has declined over the last few days, with this general trend expected to continue. However some brief diurnal peaks in electron flux to high levels are possible in any coronal hole related solar wind enhancements
Electron fluence values are forecast to remain below the Active threshold over the forecast period, with no sustained periods of elevated electron flux forecast.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-02-13T00:27:35 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |