MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-02-21T00:06:50
The high energy (greater than 2MeV) electron flux has peaked above the 1000 pfu High threshold during the past 24 hours. There remains a chance of diurnal peaks reaching high levels through the period.
The corresponding electron fluence is likely to remain at background levels, but, assuming a heightened flux, this should be accompanied by a rising trend. Despite this trend, electron fluence is not currently expected to exceed the Active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-02-21T00:06:50 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |