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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-11-01T00:23:26

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected remain at background to moderate levels, but with diurnal peaks to high levels possible, especially today and during day 4 (4th).

The associated electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active (above 1e8 integrated pfu).

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2019-11-01T00:23:26
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 20% 1%
Day 2 20% 1%
Day 3 20% 1%
Day 4 40% 1%