MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-10-14T00:04:24
High energy (greater than 2MeV) electron flux and fluence values may show a slight upward trend over the next few days if weak coronal hole effects are realised. The diurnal peak flux is likely to be close to, or perhaps just into the high threshold (greater than 1000 pfu). However, fluence values should remain below the Active threshold (≥1e8 integrated pfu).
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-10-14T00:04:24 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |