MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-09-14T00:09:08
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to diurnally peak above the High/Active threshold (1000 pfu) over the next few days. However, overall a gradual downward trend is expected through the forecast period. The corresponding 24-hour integrated fluence, currently just below the Active threshold, is also expected to slowly lower through the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-09-14T00:09:08 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 50% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 50% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 40% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 30% | 1% |