MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-09-13T00:18:37
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to continue to reach Active levels at times today and perhaps tomorrow, especially in line with the diurnal peak. However, overall a gradual downward trend is expected through the forecast period. The corresponding 24-hour integrated fluence will start above the Active threshold today, but is expected to fall below the Active threshold either early tomorrow, but more likely later today.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-09-13T00:18:37 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 100% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 40% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |