MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-09-20T00:06:31
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to mostly remain at low levels, although with diurnal peaks possibly reaching Active levels. The corresponding 24-hour integrated fluence is expected remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold throughout. This is supported by the REFM 3-day forecast output, and the 27-day recurrence, both of which indicate that levels will remain well below the Active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-09-20T00:06:31 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |