Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-09-02T00:11:09

The high energy electron flux is forecast to be maintained at moderate or high levels during this four day period, with very high peaks above 50000 pfu possible on 02 and 03 Sep. A declining trend is likely from 04 Sep onwards. Fluence is approaching very high levels (over 1e9 integrated pfu) at the current time and is forecast to breach this threshold by the end of today. Whilst it may not reach the peak values shown by REFM, fluence is nevertheless expected to remain above 1e9 integrated pfu until late on 05 Sep.