Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-08-09T00:18:24

The high energy electron flux has been high in the last 24 hours, although peak values have fallen in comparison to the previous day. This trend of falling peak values is expected to continue, with increasingly prolonged periods of moderate values expected to develop. Flux levels could also fall for a time on day 3 in response to any geomagnetic activity that occurs.

The associated fluence has been at Very Active levels for the last 24 hours, but has now fallen to Active levels. This falling trend is expected to continue, although likely remaining above until at least day 3, with chance of continuing into day 4.