MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-06-22T00:35:03
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is at background levels and is likely to oscillate between background and moderate levels through the next three days. There is a chance that high levels may be reached following the onset of the HSS from coronal hole 32.
Corresponding 24-hour fluence values are forecast to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold through the forecast period, but perhaps with a slightly rising trend later in the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-06-22T00:35:03 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |