MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-06-29T00:12:47
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) has been at background levels for several days. Flux levels may slowly increase during the forecast period, but still only reaching background to moderate levels.
The corresponding 24-hour electron fluence has been well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) for several days. Fluence levels may also show a similar slight upward trend during the forecast period, but are expected to remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu).
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-06-29T00:12:47 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |