Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-07-29T00:19:57

The high energy (greater than 2MeV) electron flux is currently at background level, with no significant enhanced electron counts expected to move across the Earth during the next two days.

The electron flux response is likely to remain muted until the arrival of the anticipated high speed stream starting on day 3 (31 July) when flux is likely to become moderate to high for this day and the following (day 4, 1 Aug). The associated 24 hour fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) throughout the period, but with a marked increase in evidence by day 4 (1 Aug), and probabilities in the table above have been increased to reflect this.