MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-06-30T00:11:21
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) has been at background levels for several days. Flux levels may slightly increase during the forecast period, but are expected to remain well below the high threshold (1000pfu).
Similarly, the corresponding 24-hour electron fluence has been well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) for several days. Fluence levels may also show a similar slight upward trend during the forecast period, but are expected to remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu).
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-06-30T00:11:21 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |