MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-06-21T00:05:30
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is at background levels and may trend slightly higher following any weak coronal hole influences, but seems most likely to remain at background to moderate levels.
Corresponding 24-hour fluence values are forecast to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold through the forecast period, but perhaps with a slightly rising trend.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-06-21T00:05:30 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |