MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-05-22T00:04:57
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to be mainly below Active levels throughout. The corresponding electron fluence is also expected to remain below the Active threshold throughout the period. The strength on the recent solar wind speed is insufficient to generate higher fluence levels. This is supported by the REFM model, and recurrence which forecast low levels will persist.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-05-22T00:04:57 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |