MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-05-19T00:52:19
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is forecast to be at mainly moderate levels, with brief diurnal high peaks. A potential onset of the high speed stream later on day 4 will likely decrease electron flux initially before they start to increase more rapidly.
Corresponding 24 hour electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) throughout the forecast period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-05-19T00:52:19 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |