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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-04-19T00:02:40

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain at below-Active levels. The corresponding 24-hour fluence is therefore expected to remain well below the Active threshold. The REFM forecast is predicting that low fluence levels will continue, as does the 27-day recurrence, which indicates below-Active levels from the last rotation.

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2019-04-19T00:02:40
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 1% 1%
Day 2 1% 1%
Day 3 1% 1%
Day 4 1% 1%