Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-04-12T00:19:20

The high energy (greater 2MeV) electron flux recovered to high levels again through the diurnal cycle on 11th April, and this is likely to be repeated through the first part the forecast period, but with a decreasing risk from day 3 (14th). However, any further Active intervals of geomagnetic activity would be expected to reduce electron counts to background levels at times.

Corresponding 24 hour electron fluence levels are uncertain through the forecast period, but likely to exceed the active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) at first, then with a decreasing chance through the period.