MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-04-18T00:14:08
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to at background to moderate levels, and perhaps just about reaching high levels (above 1000 pfu) at diurnal maximum. The corresponding 24-hour fluence is expected to also remain below the Active threshold. This is supported by both the REFM forecast, and the 27-day recurrence, which both show levels remaining below the Active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-04-18T00:14:08 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |