MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-05-18T00:10:04
With no CME or high speed stream effects expected, the high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to be variable through the period, with possible daily increases to high levels through the peak of the diurnal cycle.
Corresponding 24 hour electron fluence is expected to remain below the active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu).
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-05-18T00:10:04 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |