Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-05-11T00:08:20

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) is likely to be at normal background to occasionally moderate levels, until possibly increasing later in the forecast period to become moderate to high as a result of the slight enhancement of the solar wind environment that occurred yesterday, in addition to the arrival from the anticipated CME later today. 

The corresponding 24-hour integrated fluence values are forecast to remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold throughout the period, as a reflection of the predominantly benign solar wind conditions. The fluence may increase from tomorrow (12th) onwards, due to the expected arrival of the 7th May CME.