Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-05-10T00:05:22

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) is likely to be at normal background to occasionally moderate levels, until possibly increasing through days 3 and 4 (12th and 13th May) to become moderate to high as a result of any enhancement of the solar wind from the anticipated CME. 

The corresponding 24-hour integrated fluence values are forecast to remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold throughout the period, as a reflection of the predominately benign solar wind conditions. The fluence may increase from day 3 (12th) onwards due to the expected arrival of the 7th May CME.