MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-06-09T00:26:52
Slightly elevated solar winds over the next couple of days is likely to lead to an increase in electron flux, with the diurnal peak becoming above or close to the high threshold. Thus there is a chance that the corresponding 24-hour integrated fluence will exceed the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) from Day 2 (10th June) onwards.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-06-09T00:26:52 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |