Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-06-18T00:00:25

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) is expected to begin the forecast period at well below Active levels, but also to show a rising trend later in the period if the high speed stream arrives. However, the corresponding electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold throughout the period. The strength of the recent solar wind speed is insufficient to generate higher fluence levels. This is supported by the REFM model, and recurrence which both forecast the continuation of the current levels.