Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-04-29T00:01:53

Most of the coming four-day period should be a fairly quiet time for high energy electron flux, with the current mainly background counts expected to continue. The main forecast feature is expected to be coronal hole 10, which is due on Wednesday 01 May, Day Three. This is likely to increase both electron flux and eventually fluence, in a manner not dissimilar to its last pass 27 days ago where it breached Active soon after onset.

Active electron fluence therefore becomes Likely beyond day three, with normal levels expected prior to this.