MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-03-12T00:04:53
The high energy (greater than 2MeV) electron flux is currently varying between moderate and high levels through the diurnal cycle, but with a decreasing trend in peak values expected through the next few days. Sharper reductions may occur due to any enhanced geomagnetic activity from CME and/or coronal hole influence. The associated fluence has risen just above the Active threshold again, but is also likely to see a downward trend over the next few days. However, by the end of the period an increase is possible once more following likely high speed stream arrival from coronal hole 87.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2019-03-12T00:04:53 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 99% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 40% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 30% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |